April 13, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | An Eddie Surprise | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Emmy and I | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty Boom Boom | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ciao Luna | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sedamar | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | All Good | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nolde | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martial Eagle | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air Boss | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benny the Jet | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Do Not Swipe Left | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Patriot | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Swirls | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shehastheritestuff | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drift Away | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Believe Indeed | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indypendent Deputy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grit and Curiosity | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Secret Courier | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | One Eighty | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Duchamp | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rogallo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Always Forgiven | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Rage | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Flattery | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Jan’s Reserve | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Game | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Cha Cha | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bistraya | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gliding By | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Painting Corners | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go On Mary | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poster Girl (GB) | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Algorhythmic | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Shopper | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizanillusion | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Lady Ninja | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uppercut | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Ebby | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Not to Love | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Dance | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Avanti Bello | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kristi’s Copilot | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Equity | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Greywolf | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabin John | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dukes Up | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Sky Logan | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Resident Liberal | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Blanco | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tastemaker | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Sydney | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mind Trick | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River God | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flicflac | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sooner Better | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.