April 12, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Appolina | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gadot | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tick Tock | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Year New Me | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Acadia Fleet | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Way | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Omnipotent | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rhine Daughter | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Iron Curtain | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cayate | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curly’s Mark | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Duane | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Night At the Opera | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silken Spy | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Leap | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Creed | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whirling | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spend It | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Park | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gryffindor | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Implicitly | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Seven | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Factor | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin B | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rolls Royce Deal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lighthouse Point | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honeyfromthesouth | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ce Ce | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Chocolate | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thought I’dmissyou | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gas Can | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royally Bland | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mind for Mischief | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heathers Grey | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Love | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hang a Star | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Carressa | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bellerin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Chila | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Luck | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Combat Zone | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little No Way | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Acclimate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Vessel | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soul Beam | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wandering Patrol | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasin Lucas | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empress of Lov | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitha Bonita | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pied N True | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunrise Royale | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mixed Emotions | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Playa Chica | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scattering Mink | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over Emphasize | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Gray | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Storming Lady | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haughty Girl | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunriser | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molly McGee | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cuyahoga Falls | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.