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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 11, 2019

April 11, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tapifyn 3.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Big Trip 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 6 Cape County 4.00 1.7 3-1
1A 8 Sheba Hazelwood 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Marshall Hill 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Last Heart 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Tudors Charge 4.00 3 6-1
5 3 Judge Parker 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Curlinate 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Capital Letters 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gotta Curlin 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Match Play 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 4 Sutton Impact 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Candy for Three 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Family Code 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Fusaichi Flame 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Archie 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 7 Zimmerman 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paxos 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Overanalyzfakenews 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Golden Driller 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 E Rated 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Alexandros 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Smellin Candy 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Oprah’s Ranger 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Catch Me If U Can 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Say It Softly 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Essie’s Reward 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Between the Arches 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Take Aletter Maria 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Run Wrightaway 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Linda Listen 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Trintrin 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Silver Turns Gold 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Spunky Town 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Johnny the Jet 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Forze Mau (VEN) 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sammy Wonder Stone 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Allidoisdreamofyou 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Diamondmaze 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mud Light 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tarpys Zapper 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Emmett’s Dream 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Primal 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Babadoook 1.20 1.3 2-1
1 1 Suspicious Eyes 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Gone Dancing 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Too Hamazing 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Blanco Bronco 6.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Caddo Daddo 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Pearlthirtyeight 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Trophy Road 30.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Chief Daaher 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Trophy Daddy 30.00 5 10-1
10 10 Reverend Don 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Show Biz 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Superior’s Boy 6.00 2 4-1
5 4 Home It Tiz 4.00 2 4-1
9 8 Downtowner 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Lethal Move 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Defender 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Call West 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Long Gray Line 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Hard to Park 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rock City Roadhog 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Redneck Attack 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Guska Mon Shoes 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Weast Hill 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 K J’s Nobility 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jack Be Quick 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Suspect a Storm 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Joan’s Delight 10.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Paper Wazoo 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Ronamo 3.50 1.9 3-1
5 4 Rising Star 4.50 2 4-1
3 2 New Year’s Luck 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Bring the Dough 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Cliff’s Place 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Auctioneer 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Treasure Trove 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Painted Canyon 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Shell Fire 8.00 3.8 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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