April 11, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 0.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seediskid | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serengeti Cat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Olympus | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huracan | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Skies Forever | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Zapper | 50.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moon Tweet | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Smart | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted News | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Queen | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bizness Beauty | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Coffee | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Threatlovesmidnite | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Warrior | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thesis | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Bo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh K Funnybone | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mountain | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Blonde Moment | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | My Galina | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zandora | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Bye Bye Nicky | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laquezza | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Her Latest Film | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stylishly | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G. T. Sonia | 30.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nymphesa (GER) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8B | 7 | Just Right | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6B | 6 | Beachside | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Castle Casanova | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Tiergan | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bebe Banker | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trip Ups | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pipes | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | D Emcee | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mizzen Max | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Helen’s Tiger | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eloweasel | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jimi Bags | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ardara Belle (FR) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Science Fiction | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sheza Diva | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Play Me a Memory | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blissful Breeze | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mission Command | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thomas Knight | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Truly a Moon Shot | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scarf It Down | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indian Guide | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Javelin | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halloween Horror | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nolinski | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Toohottoevenspeak | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbridledadventure | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Union Rags | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Chipolata (FR) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chiara Luna | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | War Cabinet | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Violet Blue | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Mo Savings | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Margie Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sander’s Empire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | It’s My Catiecat | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Low Is Laine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wailin Josie | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nazay | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kathy’s Cause | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Frost | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abby Normal | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | My First Gal | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Princessof Philmar | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barbara P | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Frosty Linz | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Roses From Ben | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.