April 10, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Guzman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Merchants of Cool | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Johnny Unleashed | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Champagne Affair | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fed Xman | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baytown Vi Vi | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alec and Arthur | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Karaoke Night | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raison Martini | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moti | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wellfield | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Garden | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coworker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Direct Approach | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grassetto | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Yarnallton | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Charge Annie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Retro Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Caroline Lois | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Alizee | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tula | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Stefanie On Fleek | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cash for Cass | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Houston Strong | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Catsoutofthebag | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ginny B | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cimarron | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | In the Moment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Hannah | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marie’s Mandate | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duches of Grace | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marina View | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tale of La Comete | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marriage | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Midnight Affair | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Banana Union | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bond Street (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magic Tapit | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nobrag Justfact | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cullum Road | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Musical America | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Capture the Glory | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nottoway | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day Dreamer | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hallie’s Hero | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Here’s Carlos | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Iron | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Midnight | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trappezoid | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finished | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stayonthegrind | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cartabianca (FR) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In the Lee | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonnie Arch | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valentine Wish | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynatail | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contributing | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In the Mood | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Outlaw | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Bella Brown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Tracer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Title | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parade Blue | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mandel | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Griff | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jova | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Buggy Brown | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Rapa Iti | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.