April 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Final Say | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orbed | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samaronti | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skywriting | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | There He Goes | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | There Goes Jose | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Cat | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Wise | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Metaphorical | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Local Edition | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stretch’s Stone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | You Tell Me | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Playthatfunnymusic | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Thicket | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here Comes Tommy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Third Card Down | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carlisle Belle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Solitary Gem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Got the Gist | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Candy Boss | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rattlesnake Bite | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dynamite Kitten | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Party in the Sand | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Midnight Crossing | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Laura’s Patriot | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eight Minute Ellie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Needs No Ice | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tribecca | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightful Kitten | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sicilia Mike | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Bunt | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candid Desire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barton Hall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Happy Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Too Many Tales | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Newly Minted | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Serious Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Chillinwithfriends | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tzipi | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prisoner’s Dilemma | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Andretta | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Summer Fantasy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | J J Jen | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tarallucci | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bourbon High | 50.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Caralicious | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jacqueline D | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Mama | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Simona | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Itsjustnotyourday | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My Victoria Rose | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Offlee Irish | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Viradia | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ma Mo | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Votre Coeur | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thinkingofglenn | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ocean Conquest | 50.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Catania Rose | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Regal Retort | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Lover | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Curl | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Style and Grace | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Multi Strategy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makeme Dream | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Black Belt | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Waving Flags | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Pellagrino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Creative Style | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ink Splotz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smidge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | El Fenomeno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Tio Blas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Red Mule | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deft | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cube | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halstaat | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lone Pioneer | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Power Boss | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Don Ciccio | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Amistad | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linns Boy | 50.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13A | 10 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.