April 7, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Eurodevilwoman |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Rhapsody |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8A |
8 |
Curiousncuriouser |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dale’s Lil Sis |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Misty Journey |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anita Marie |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Liam’s World |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Social Icon |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mumford |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gordie |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unfailing |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run This Town |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
A. P. Royal |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sergeant McNerney |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Conspicuous Box |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bet It All to Win |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Got the Brahms |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Willyoustandforme |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Lookin At Blessing |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
5A |
4 |
Dreamer’s Point |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Derecho Warrior |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dahik |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tashkent |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Silver G T O |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rickhouse |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Wristlet |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Spire |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paynt Your Eggs |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Sheza Handfull |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Bronze Charm |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ettalusive |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Caliente Candy |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Glory |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Juliet’s Music |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiz Little Bull |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hawt Mess |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Diamondback |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3A |
3 |
Mercer Island |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mighty Manfred |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Exemplar |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tapsolute |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stormy Pacific |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4A |
3 |
Pitch Count |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Futile |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Strong Yen |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hold On Angel |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Shakedown |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6B |
6 |
Cool Catomine |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Point Hope |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
3A |
3 |
Ransack |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
8 |
Jerrid |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4B |
4 |
Candy My Boy |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Crooked as Can Be |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Keen Gizmo |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1A |
1 |
Frost Or Frippery |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Curmit |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bango Box |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
A. P. Princess |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sooner Schooner |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sky Freak |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashy Biz |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Honest N Lucky |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Listen Up |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fiftieth |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s a Fine Dime |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Barbess |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loyal |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2A |
2 |
Rocky Tough |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Petrov |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Shotgun Kowboy |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Exclamation Point |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Secret House |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Phat Man |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lone Rock |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malibu Max |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8A |
7 |
Summer Revolution |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
C J’s Flair |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Edisto Island |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dawnmino |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miz Oklahoma Blues |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Paradise |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ally Song |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grats Road |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Triple Kapalua |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abby in Pink |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.