April 7, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ten Hut | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forty Acres | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Run for James | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby G | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blame the Kids | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Whirlin Curlin | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stand and Salute | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra Leona | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfectlyintune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blameitonthekiss | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Our Star | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Ninety Nine | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wildcattin | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saltworks | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Bodega Bay | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 3 | Musabaqa | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Robin’s Destiny | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 5 | Truly Hot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dialin | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shecor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ride This Train | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Okie | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Max Crown | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bobby the Brain | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Young American | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Vision | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Brahms | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Irish | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Tarhe | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caterina One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ten Count Out | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rosy’s Rainbow | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Bagels and Lox | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marie From Parie | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Hat Tizzy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Very Charming | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malabar | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Shane’s Jewel | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Bay | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Lion | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won and Done | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Showalter | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greatbullsoffire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fly E Dubai | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nico Bree N Teej | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Popizar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Herman | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Confessor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apolodorodedamasco | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hall Pass | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Party On Prospect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dirtyfoot | 2.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 4 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baptize the Boy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr Smurthwaite | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Padrino’s Heart | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threethehardway | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jah Grace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Prevailing Party | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tidy Stripe | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Important | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cisco Bay | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eye of the Wildcat | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.