April 7, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | First Forever | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wanna Be Regal | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Flambe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Funky | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Causin’ Trouble | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Bella Chica | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crick | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | D’s Sis | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Style | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Evan’s Nice Now | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 3 | No Stone Unturned | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Big Brown Cat | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pennys From Heaven | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Infatuation | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Samaronti | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Orbed | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10A | 10 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Rhode Island | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chantry Flats | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strategic Outlook | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Unleveraged | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Dancer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dillon Rocks | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hampton Point | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tide of the Sea | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Tio Blas | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Change of Venue | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Infield Is In | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Buss the Bell | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Maquina Gris | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Flat Out Jayvien | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Multiply | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laura’s Posse | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Going | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tour de Force | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Killybegs Captain | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Inspector Lynley | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Multiplier | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Saturday | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maraud | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Black Tide | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Morelikelythannot | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On the Town | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Pursuit | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canarsie Girl | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unabridged (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Win | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dolores Westworld | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Five Alarm Robin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lido Key | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Breez | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Master | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Achilles Warrior | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Systems Go | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fixedincome Larry | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free Kitty | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Too Cool to Dance | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wegetsdamunnys | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Canoe | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Keota | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Rose (GER) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call Me Kayla | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom’s Queen | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vip Nation | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bel Cuore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chillinwithfriends | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Rose of Dublin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Weekend Forecast | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tousled | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Chamber | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vinda Machine | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Queendom | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Alvernia | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emmy Knows | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mama’s Funky Baby | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Marie’s Tuff | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Little Big Risk | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.