April 6, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kodiak West (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tell Me More | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Gold | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemoona | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirth | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fool’s Paradise | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sneaking Out | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lippy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Tiger | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr Wysong | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silk From Heaven | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Kisses | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Settle It | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Bradley | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violette Szabo | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stirred | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bellafina | 0.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Yesterday | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flor de La Mar | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | Slewgoodtobetrue | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stay Golden | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tribal Roar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Coil to Strike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Captivate | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Royal Trump | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Italiano | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Littlebitamedal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cats Blame | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Swiss Minister | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Aced | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Super Terrific | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Rule of King’s | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Vasilika | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Bad Behavior | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cordiality | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raven’s Lady (GB) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Space Talk (GB) | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meal Ticket | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smoovie | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lieutenant Dan | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foster Boi | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Listing | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Wire | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Principe Carlo | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Special | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prodigal Son | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oliver | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Jones | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon House | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Of Good Report | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lil Sydney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | One Bad Boy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time Is Now | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speakerofthehouse | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Play Money | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Polar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mo Reserve | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bullion | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Deep Thinker (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | M Town Gem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ocean Fury | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Takeo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Game Winner | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roadster | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Instagrand | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Synthesis | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Ice | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Providencia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Creed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxim Rate | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truffalino | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apache Princess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lakerball | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hostess (GB) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Killarney Lass | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ladymidtown | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H. Presented By San Manuel Indian Bingo And Casino
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | McKinzie | 0.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Attraction | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gift Box | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Groom | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campaign | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Arabia | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Warfare | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Inscom | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Hunted | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shaky Alibi | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rumpus Cat | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tequila Joe | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ostini | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Treasure | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | King Caymus | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | United | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.