April 6, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Agosta |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heidi’s Wish |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saucy At Midnight |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Torri’s On My Mind |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Can’ttouchmenow |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s a Lucky One |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Niece Jackie Davis |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Flamin Icon |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dixie Forest |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Residual Sugar |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Banker Nita |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’m So Tink |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Ballerina |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mama of My Dreams |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3A |
3 |
Aireonblush |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Macanudo Slew |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6A |
6 |
Miss Emerson |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nanabanana |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7A |
7 |
Neil’s Diamond |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9A |
8 |
Chip Van Winkle |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Davka |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bajan Cash |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coleman Rocky |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drc All Inclusive |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greeleys Spirit |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
After Hours |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silver Spun |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Globus |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Invasor Gold |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Dilly |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Staccato |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fake Solution |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Couch Trainer |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sovol |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Johnny Chadda |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Flat Creek |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Karma |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Perfecta |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Que Sera Sera |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maggie Pie |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragatagtag |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miz Nightcap |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wosie |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marvella |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Gal |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Keep Your Distance |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Summer’s Indy |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Moonlight Train |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Awe Emma |
1.20 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
First Alternate |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dancing Belle |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Mostly Awesome |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kiffle |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Ultimate Mo |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Headland |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Savvy Ally |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Lady of Luxury |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Full of Grace |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Atchata |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nine Martinis |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Reflector |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Midnight Blue Note |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7A |
5 |
Hitters Park |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
7 |
Nuclear Option |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3A |
2 |
Bolita Boyz |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Sevier |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
D’ Rapper |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Always a Suspect |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
No Funny Biz |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Amy’s Challenge |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mia Mischief |
1.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shanghai Tariff |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ours to Run |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Salt Bae |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
World Riot |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Barry Lee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Powerful Ally |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Adios Muchacho |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glory Stars |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Best of Greeley |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fort Fortitude |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowboy Creed |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
7 |
Strolling |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hold Me Black |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.