April 6, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Labeq | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vehement | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Punchline | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gongheifatchoy | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Gotcha | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Albert | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Profit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 3 | Awillaway | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Not Bluffing | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookbothways | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashpackinbarbie | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Banker | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Compulsion | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Banker | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mineshaft Blues | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Spectacular | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Show Prince | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Promise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mac’s Revolution | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Stone Breaker | 0.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Big Lebanese | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 1 | Oh My Papa | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trance | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Straphanger | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zoo Yorker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Orpheus (ARG) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Maimo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3A | 2 | Bitumen | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Go Big Or Go Home | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Avast Matey | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kenyan | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redyornothereicome | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Believe in Luck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Indebted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Applicator | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sycamore Lane | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Glencairn | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wicked Freud | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Poshsky | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shamcat | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cloontia | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tiz a Chance | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Double Deep | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Ode to the Hunt | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Holy Week | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bay Shore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mount Travers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mucho | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mind Control | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Much Better | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Paul | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Lover | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Monongahela | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shivermetimbers | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Life’s a Parlay | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nicodemus | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hit It Once More | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tour de Force | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Bonus | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gazelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Spirit | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Emma | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Off Topic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Shopping | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Destiny | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timber Ghost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | World of Trouble | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Vino Rosso | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life in Shambles | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Identity Politics | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Ballantine | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tacitus | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haikal | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoffa’s Union | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tax | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outshine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overdeliver | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not That Brady | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joevia | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Jeopardy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Math Wizard | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grumps Little Tots | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monteleone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 8 | Blewitt | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark N Cloudy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arthur’s Hope | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Expert | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12A | 11 | Storm Prophet | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vincento | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | House Limit | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sea Foam | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indimaaj | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sam and Jax | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.