April 1, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
March Screamer |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ninja Boys |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Infuriated |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jimmy Who |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cloudy Saturday |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Speed Syndrome |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Contingent Payment |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Lie |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
5 |
American Roma |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
My Pirate |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
You’re No Saint |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mach Trial |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aiken Prep |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Artistic Drifter |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burntwood |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tchaikovsky |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diamond Square |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kingslayer |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hodor |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Scherzo |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pumpkin Star |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Two Weeks Off |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wendy Wend |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Get the W |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Banker’s Island |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lawyer Roy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Giant Rubies |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
C B Roses |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
He’s Incredible |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Hay Boy |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sunshine Crusader |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Quench My Thirst |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Finn’s Posse |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Rules |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Pappa Rox |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Brilliant Worth |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Big Tasty |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
3 |
War Tocsin |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Bethlehem Road |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Homeofthe Lombardi |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shackled Romance |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Manipulate |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Powerfully Built |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Five More Minutes |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spartak |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flat Out Flashy |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
New Jersey |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
She’s Primo |
5.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Neva’s Gal |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gambit’s Girl |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gotta Be Strong |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Snow Forecast |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Six Pack Gal |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pascha Pascha |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hell of Afire |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Queen Nekia |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silver Excess |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hola Princess |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star of Midnight |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Special Included |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pretty Cool Cat |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Abuela Loca |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Credo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
10 |
Conscience |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1A |
11 |
S. S. Minnow |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
5 |
Shoe Loves Shoe |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fara’s Kid |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Cardio Cowboy |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Don’t Make It Easy |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ninetyeightoctane |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Prodigious |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
He’s Cotton |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
9 |
Hammers Vision |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Distinctive Ride |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Captain Sam |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oldfashioned Style |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Not Leaving |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Circle Game |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crazy Daisy |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whitney Cove |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Kion |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Legacy’s Prince |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Setter |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miami Tiger |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Loco Lobo |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gorsuch |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lori’s Folly |
30.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Graymond |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conquest Kronos |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.