March 31, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
A Dime for Me |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
And Counting |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cat’s Desire |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Erebuni |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Meritocracy |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Incredibly Lucky |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
10 |
Out of Control |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spacerika |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vella |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Soprescious |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Witches Brew |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Minoso |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Pee Wee Reese |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Eddie Haskell |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Minister of Soul |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brandothebartender |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Start a Runnin |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tule Fog |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lovely Raquel |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jeweled |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Copper Cowgirl |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chay Up and Away |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heloise |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Warm It Up |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Carmelita |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Royal Astronomer |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Purdue |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Simeon S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Conquest Tsunami |
0.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Law Abidin Citizen |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cistron |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arms Runner |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Air Vice Marshal |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
La Sardane (FR) |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mesut |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Owning |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Surprise Fashion |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Bean |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toothless Wonder |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fly Away Birdie |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Violent Behavior |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Blitz |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Passionate Reward |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
My Man Chuckles |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blitzkrieg |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Via Egnatia |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oiseau de Guerre |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eric the Trojan |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Twinery |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Buckys Pick |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Buzz |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Taste’s Legend |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Galloping Mischief |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Major Cabbie |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Big Barrel |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jamming Eddy |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Posterize |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Games |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Birthday |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runnin’withdadevil |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bernardos Hideaway |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dialed Up |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Understand Autism |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Asaro |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ultimate Shilo |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Curry |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Irish O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
S Y Sky |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Algorhythmic |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gypsy Blu |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen Bee to You |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
X S Gold |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coco Kisses |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Barbara Beatrice |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fiery Lady |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donut Girl |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Scathing |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ismelucky |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Buyback |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Amanda |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crackling Bread |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whata Flirt |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Encountress |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Caracortada |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s No Fool |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
11 |
Princess Jada |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cyber Savings |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grey Tsunami |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Celebration Day |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dixie Bobbie |
50.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
13 |
12 |
Sweetest Caroline |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.