March 31, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moondance Joy | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elizabeth Nicole | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ribbonite | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Triumph | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yourcreditisgood | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Nugget | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Connolly’s Beads | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridolfo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millionaire Joe | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Money | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Snap | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Moon | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Flash | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play Me a Memory | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bestinthebusiness | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red Zinger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Saw It All | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daring Disguise | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Manners | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seed Money | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gongheifatchoy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pay the Vet | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’sakittykat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Laur Net | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devilish Romance | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Annie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gobi | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Havana Affair | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preziosa | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brockthebank | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Early Retirement | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Gala | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ventus | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Halo | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mounted Cop | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Plus Seven | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilson’s Holiday | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Shout | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Questeq | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trouble for Skylar | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hexameter | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump for Joy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Suzy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lightnin Strike | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Me Roses | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shelley Ann | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Zip | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flush | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s No Fool | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wadadli Princess | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Beauty | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intoxicologist | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Today Comes Once | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheatham Hill | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saratoga Style | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Scones | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kid Is Frosty | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarahrini | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three Birds | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quietude | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ja’s Malibu | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tappanzee | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Lassie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Girl | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pennys From Heaven | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.