March 30, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Charging Lion | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Like Boston | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expect Drama | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bapu | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pleasant Lee | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Rules | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Terp | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petion Night | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rip Rap Riley | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tbtwelve | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bridey’s Kitten | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Man | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Cherryandthehawk | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liz’s Smile | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mortal Storm | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Tweet | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Janelle Dreams | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shall Try | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vicar’s Chalice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Accusing | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Here’s Paco | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kierland | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roman Warrior | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chocomount | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavenly Haze | 50.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bannon | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dr Bolt | 1.60 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Tipit | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Bull | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greely Is Back | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Irish | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Cerrato | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocky the Kid | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fifties Music | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carysfort Reef | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Multiple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Lucky Junior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | One More Drink | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 3 | 2 | Benandjoe | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dynastic | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welling | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lincoln’s Address | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | War Lance | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Luv the Painter | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Coffee Please | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Top Czar | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iwishiwaspecial | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapitontheside | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brightest Star | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickhatch | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lettersfromdublin | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Townie | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jonathan McD | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Hat Ragtop | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buster’s Brother | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucacito | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Noguez | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eighty Bucks | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grosco (MEX) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Parade of Nations | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Matter of Factor | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Divine Dancer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gorbachov | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hey Kid | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seve | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swing Step | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Glory Hound | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.