March 29, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Tweet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | South of the Shore | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solent | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Moxie | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clara Allen | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Are Family | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pinchbeck | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leah’s Dream | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starlite Mission | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fair Regis | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Killala Bay | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theresa’s Boy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Skies Forever | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrutinize | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clonedsimmard | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Well in Tune | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Two Hot Betty | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Khaleesi | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salty Smile | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Vale | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malarkey | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exceed the Goal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Mission | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Floss Dancer | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gentle Annie | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda Lane | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party in the Sand | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Irish | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Felt Better | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Burt | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Wonder | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Zapper | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fotis | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Rate | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Your Boots | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Lucky | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pepper Lane | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Peculiar Sensation | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze the Odds | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Papa Shot | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wrong Ben | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Belt | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsum Johnny | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proletariat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Rush | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avalina | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbilicious | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dovey Lovey | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Went With the Wind | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Figure It Out | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aboutthebenjamins | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jack Bo | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Muy Bien | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coolboy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wisecrack | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everything Pazible | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Adversary | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tazmonian Devil | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pour It Out | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.