March 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | A Toast to Gertie | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paper Doll | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monarchos Prayer | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’mwildaboutcarlos | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Count That | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ide Better Move | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Prospect | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weavemeawinr | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Philly | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Envoy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Slideruler | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lodi Street | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Blingonthwing | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mundo Mutadda | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | It’s All Up to You | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Dance Caller | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Jerry N Bo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peace Treaty Pat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Stacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Salt Life Angel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mike’s Song | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Stars Included | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Diamond for Crider | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Song | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notimeforchitchat | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frontier Tracy | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Bayouland Star | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Catbalee | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Myjobismylife | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cube | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Papajudgy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doorag Jimmy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Optimal | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 4 | 3 | On the Muscle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baron of Bluegrass | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shackleford Road | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hashtag Speed | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gladyousawme | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Grande Basin | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underpressure | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mageez | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Budro Talking | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Payday Too | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pound for Pound | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Screenshot | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruffina | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Andthebandplayedon | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Colony | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause Me Grief | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Homefieldadvantage | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Shadow | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B’s Ten | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altered Dream | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Bentonville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flashy Image | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cachito | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lil Blinkey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tonnerre | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Herbie | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Horace Charles | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ricky Dale | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Juneberris Sound | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Ty | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Custom | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kye’s Addycat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Holy Sunrise | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jacobs Flyer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | King Sniper | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mikey’s Mouse | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cheytac | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rocktizway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lord Colliery | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Briar Jumper | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Power Song | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oro de Tejano | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aizhai | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Clear | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitten Street | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cardinal Coach Mac | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wristlet | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Felipe | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Boss Betty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flash Hands | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Aloha Betty | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Audubon Alex | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Have No Fear | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Prayers | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mia O Maya | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guiltyfromthegitgo | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Crispy Creed | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Incoming Wire | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Glorieta | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Shasta | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scootin Bayou | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Stephanie’s City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Weightlessness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Coexistence | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharpin | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taber | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawn | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daaherachel | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holiday Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boca Bloom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trust in Love | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cause Libby Knows | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halfway | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cafe Mischief | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Andy Jones | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Happy Go Lucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cogan | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Victory Lane | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Blackard | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Pippin | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Brilliant Decision | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Applewood | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Person to Person | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jackfruit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Court’s Revenge | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Call Me Dusty | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dyna Ghost | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ever True | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firewater Jake | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oxburger | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Social | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time Flies By | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboys Dream | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireball Jon | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leader of Men | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crossfire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Attorney Tim | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One for Richie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Joker D Lish | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Another Mystery | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lookin High | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speedactus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ash Tax | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zippit Zippy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Our Prince | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Da Van Geaux | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheap Shot | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Oliver’s Prayer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Flashyboy Bobb | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sovol | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Callmechamp | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Doug’s Bug | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Ide B Stranded | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fix D Fence | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.