March 24, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Racing Raven | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3A | 3 | Platinum Nugget | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Jayvien | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No No Noah | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smidge | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Friendship Seven | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garsoon | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Take Your Place | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Munnys | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bootlegger (FR) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mohican | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alphalfa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tizgame | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holey Matrimony | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suremoney | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bassman Dave | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Step to the Bank | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Starry Rose | 0.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me a Hug | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Pleasantly | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Alana | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Know Point Given | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roses From Ben | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run From Theheat | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aly’s Courage | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Sheza Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Nancysaidso | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Takecharge Mirella | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brass Ring | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Movie Score | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Countable | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Jazzy J | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thinkingofglenn | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pier Forty | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Jim | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Mint | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Blue Giant | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disciplanarian | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Paddy Brown | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bebe Banker | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Binkster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Gemmy | 3.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrock Kid | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playwright | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Real Dan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Did It | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Latin Love Bug | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dublin Green | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sams Last Ghasp | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Out of Orbit | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Kitty | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Studio | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love to Learn | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Norma’s Charm | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Twist | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Rising | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Obsolete | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thesis | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Bettor Bank On It | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shock Therapy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mend Up | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poker Game | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oh K Funnybone | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mac’s Revolution | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brown Essence | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mountain | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.