March 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spartiatis | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Action | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nolinski | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stretch’s Stone | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pickle Rick | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Impunity | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Man | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Olympus | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronxville | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bumperdoo | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Shot | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ironclad | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Poshsky | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Incubator | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shamcat | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forbidden Frolic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Free Coffee | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Xanthique | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Miss You Blues | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Bennys Tribute | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bizness Beauty | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Special Story | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Pass | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Zeus | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dooley | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Blue | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Too Many Tales | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delta Gamma | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cholmondeley | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annette’s Humor | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Topline | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homemade | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara P | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canarsie Princess | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Great Going | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon N Rye | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder’s Honor | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Multiply | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quest for Fire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our American Star | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Da Meister | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D J’s Favorite | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pauseforthecause | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luz Mimi | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Assail | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Annie Rocks | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short Kakes | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dublinornothin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Harley Q | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Behind the Couch | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rumor Driven | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Macho | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wailin Josie | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Graces | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cash Offer | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Linda’s Ballet | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Nine From Two | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.