March 21, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Memory Magic | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Begue | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty Grable Eyes | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Cruising | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Born to D’ Wild | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bing | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purely Blessed | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exchange Gold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irritator | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 6 | Keep Talking | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showcase Mall | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Garrison K | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcat Saint | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnum Maduro | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Loco Martillo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Day Dreamer | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of Discretion | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B W P Express | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Civil | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overanalyzfakenews | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar Stool Budget | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snapper Bite | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Rapidash | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christopher Cat | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Logan’s Reward | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unk’s Red Man | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Do Guess Again | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | North Hullen | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Gentleman | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | E Lee | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hope for Value | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Card Shark | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookingforroses | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | General Basil Duke | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hermano T K | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | From Now On | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Confederate Yell | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Kid | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dude Greeley | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Golden Argument | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Starmaline | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Savvy Shipman | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Believeinsomething | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Brees | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yalisha | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Alexandra | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hiclass Production | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | He’s an Honest Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Church of England | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | War Count | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not Today Alfie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Picacho Peak | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jack’s Got Game | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Booth Road Shine | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | U Never Know | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Pal Jac | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Wild About Star | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Dr Liz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Minit to Stardom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Cutter | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calamity Jane | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Mistake | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Thought | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half a Million | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Kantiana | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saponi | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Titanium Pledge | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Waycross | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Calimambo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buckets | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Victory Trip | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Motive | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | He’s a Climber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Temple | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Charcoal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Noble Companion | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Patrol | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jemography | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Hokie | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarcillo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Subdued | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torrid Zone | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foggy Albion | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Who’syourfavorite | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Huntur | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fire Blaster | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Born Again George | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Resilience of Love | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Carlos | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Correa | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oneholylion | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Glory Music | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bandit for Time | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mediamaker | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.