March 16, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
5 |
Secretive Revenge |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
5 |
Adreamgoesonforver |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Yellow Chick |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
New Bolton Billy |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
New Jersey |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Saratoga Mist |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Jonah |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tomarie |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Berberslilbriebrie |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Glowing Star |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bella Bambina |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shanghai Glory |
0.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wise Trade |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hibernia Diamond |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bellamy Cat |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Slot |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Raphael’s Promise |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Sugar Train |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Seeking Blame |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tew Ways |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
3 |
Super Fleet |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Debonaire Man |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Six Blade |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
March Screamer |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Vincent |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cyclobomb |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hay Boy |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pellagrino |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Afleet Melody |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Breath of Royalty |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peter G. Fox |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Danzig Partner |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucky Lover Boy |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Son of Sanibel |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Drummer Don |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fire Sparx |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corsario |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tempestuous Angel |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Fifty |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Family Crest |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Smooth Don B |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Buzz With Alex |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
House of Friends |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
D’yer Mak’er |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Matter of Factor |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gifted Justice |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arctic Schiller |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Righteous |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bolara |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Daddy’s Thief |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Down With the King |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Italian |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tuffy’s Lucky |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Starry Messenger |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mill and Gloria |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smokinpaddylassie |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Citrine Harbor |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Donna’s Dunkirk |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweetest Yet |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ignite |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Fair |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
They Shot Sonny |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wonderfully Tuned |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1A |
3 |
Gurt Boys |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Midnight Harbor |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Poker |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
D T Goodie |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drosselmagic |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jw’strickymischief |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
King’s House |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart and Tough |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jack O Liam |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Prodigious |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ok Now |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Surfing U S A |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Runs for Luck |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Got It |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Texas Two Step |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ironbound |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Recanted |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.