March 16, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Honey Won’t |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bears Mafia |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Social Currency (KOR) |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rags for Britches |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Calamity Kat |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Indy Rules |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Direct Approach |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mystic Times |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blankenbaker |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Travy Boy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Valdocco |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Wings Reven |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royalty Salvatore |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Particularity |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kokomo Wildcat |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dr Harlan |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lovingrdsimmar |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Prime Issue |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tale of Fire |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chovanes |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oh My Warrior |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tempter |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant Dilemma |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Resourceful |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rock You |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Abounding Joy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Munchkin Money |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sanity |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Southern Sis |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Notapradaprice |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burning Question (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Psalmody |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Brother Aaron |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Island Song |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Mischievous Bird |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Presto |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sayyaaf |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Freefall |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Wild Behavior |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Marsac |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mission Driven |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Squadron |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Erasmo’s Dream |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Second Street |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Franklin Towers |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Queens Jules |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Could Be |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atypical |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Grand Nenuco |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Versed |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Who’s Out |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Icatiro |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
French Quarter |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Belle Tapisserie |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Diddley |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take Charge Dude |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Springmeier |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forman the Foreman |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
All Star Seiler |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
King Kingo |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
10 |
El Playon |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Littleroughjustice |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Valid Exchange |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ogre’s Cat |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Darby Dart |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Karamchand |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Father Joe |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Byron Bay |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Zaman |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
J Zar |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baffin Bay |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dakota’s Dude |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imperial Majesty |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tangible |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Traffic Stop |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Doctor D J |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bad to the Core (FR) |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sharetheblame |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
With Dignity |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Ready to Tango |
2.50 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beauty Buzz |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cairo Queen |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal Charlotte |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Little Lady |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sinwaan |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Splendor |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Canary Song |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Inside Information S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tequilita |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Teresa Z |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pink Sands |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jala Jala (MEX) |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cairenn |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
America’s Tale |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pacific Gale |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Razorback Lady |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
The Green Mo’ster |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
C Major |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Passport to Chaos |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mutakatif (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exprompt (FR) |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Watch Me Whip |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Just the Facts |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elgar |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vegas Kitten |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
King of Spades |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whenthedovescry |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Septimius Severus |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Youshouldbesolucky |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Mike |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lahinch |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ohanzee |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Red Fog |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mony |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jeeker Joe |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bodie Cody |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Street Giant |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cockalorum |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Stand Corrected |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.