March 16, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Echoesoftime | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Light Her Up | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Amour | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saints’ Girl | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red La Rosa | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tenpins Tempo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hansen’s Holiday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.5 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Nearis | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Tristan | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Absolut Neworleans | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whathadhappenwuz | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ida’s Warrior | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beauty Boy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Grip | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Potential Danger | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkys Surprise | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neverquitdreaming | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Money | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carolyn’s Cactus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortythreeoeight N | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontwishfortrouble | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a C Looker | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sohni | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starlight Express | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fame Feather | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Flashly | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Decant | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Upset Brewing | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dance Rhythms | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’boldest | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Broome | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shakopee Town | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blip Says Bye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Helena | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rumandice | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Lady | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blinkers | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Change of Control | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | J D’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Marriage | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starmaline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Calamity Jane | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Is Too | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontmesswithjoanne | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eskenformore | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hyper Piper | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap Dance Star | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bermuda Star | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Special Blessing | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tough Kicks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Elektracutioner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Aunt Bae Bae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Blowin Your Mind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Girls Life | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Veronica’s Dream | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Pam’s Meadow | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Champagne Moment | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’wild Muffin | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Vinton’s Vin Geaux | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sixteen Punches | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sabe Marcelete | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cypress Point | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Weabie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Style and Grace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Houston Strong | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Twirlingontheedge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Desert Ride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Support | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Special for You | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Out for a Spin | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Ginny B | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Orbert | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | New Frontier | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Calling | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Limbo | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runnin’ Ray | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Love | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sportster | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Six Percent | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Warrior | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ashlee’s Reward | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Samsen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speight Swiftly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Applicator | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Firey Speech | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dontblamerocket | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Italian Charm | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Higher Power | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gettysburg | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Don’task Don’ttell | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bemma’s Boy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Uproar | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Strut the Ring | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Serious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Foreign Connection | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Zing | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Hands | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tee Nah Nah | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin Back At It | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Seventeen | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Invader | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nottodayfellas | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.