March 16, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Lincoln | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unsullied | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’tweallgetalong | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Domain | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandy Lane | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thank You So Much | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Access | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canarsie Girl | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Madness | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Smart | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasminesque | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted News | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G. T. Sonia | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sower | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sounds Delicious | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Startwithsilver | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Way | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Filibustin | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Dawn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Sunday | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | Eight Minute Ellie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lemon Crush | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Needs No Ice | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carlisle Belle | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moscows Got Talent | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Disquiet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Heartbustingirl | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Flambe | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abby Normal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Detective Kid | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princessof Philmar | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boosted Ego | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Jo | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Altesino | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Clear | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Lights | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Support Our Cause | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buss the Bell | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jonathan McD | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imvros Pride | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chicken Valley Rd | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Trance | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s Driving | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thesis | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Source | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleet Warrior | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh K Funnybone | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Mountain | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Big Lebanese | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 2 | Funny Guy | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rally Cap | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Show Prince | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hushion | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Almendro | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trip Ups | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saratoga Promise | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Maquina Gris | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Split Verdict | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | D’ambrosio | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Change of Venue | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infield Is In | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takeoff | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Panther Creek | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latin Love Bug | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.