Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2019

March 16, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Lincoln 1.20 1.3 2-1
6 6 Unsullied 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Can’tweallgetalong 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Domain 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Sandy Lane 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Thank You So Much 30.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Beach Access 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Enjoyitwhilewecan 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Canarsie Girl 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Weekend Madness 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Stay Smart 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Jasminesque 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Distorted News 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 G. T. Sonia 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Correction S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sower 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Yorkiepoo Princess 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sounds Delicious 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Startwithsilver 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Honor Way 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Filibustin 15.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Dawn 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tequila Sunday 1.80 1.4 3-1
1.4 3-1
1 1 Eight Minute Ellie 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Lemon Crush 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Needs No Ice 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Carlisle Belle 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Moscows Got Talent 10.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Disquiet 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Heartbustingirl 1.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Miss Flambe 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Abby Normal 8.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Detective Kid 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Princessof Philmar 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 She Makes Me Smile 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Boosted Ego 15.00 3.4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rockin Jo 1.60 1.5 3-1
6 6 Altesino 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 All Clear 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Desert Lights 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Support Our Cause 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Buss the Bell 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Jonathan McD 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Imvros Pride 30.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chicken Valley Rd 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Trance 1.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Who’s Driving 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Thesis 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Power Source 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Fleet Warrior 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Oh K Funnybone 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Big Mountain 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Big Lebanese 8.00 SCRATCH
1.7 3-1
2 2 Funny Guy 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Rally Cap 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Show Prince 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Hushion 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Almendro 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Trip Ups 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Saratoga Promise 10.00 2.9 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 La Maquina Gris 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Split Verdict 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 D’ambrosio 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Change of Venue 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Infield Is In 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Takeoff 6.00 2 4-1
8 5 Panther Creek 30.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Latin Love Bug 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 6 Shipsandgoods 30.00 3.6 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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