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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 15, 2019

March 15, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 War Count 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rivers Rising 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pure Bingo 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 The Rayster 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mira 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Les Paul 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Richie Gary 12.00 2 4-1
4 3 Atlantic Ruler 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Cajun Pinata 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Shae’s Day 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 7 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Royal Strands Kiss 12.00 3.4 6-1
11 8 American Boy 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 And Yet Another 12.00 3.7 7-1
14 10 Charlie de Hustle 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 9 Bold Zarb 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Summer Appeal 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beautiful Game 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Handiwork 4.50 1.3 3-1
11 10 Desert Prophet 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Carnoustie 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bank On Andy (FR) 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Silver Giant 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Singing Aces 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Slideruler 30.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Curzon Street 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Rollwithit 30.00 4 8-1
9 8 Mosta Flyin 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cha Mono 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wildwood Dejavu 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lewys Vaporizer 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Anytime Anyplace 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Rickshaw Express 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 What a Image 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Turner Time 5.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 El Jake O 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 No Richie 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Warrior’s Kid 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Mini Chunk 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Fleetway 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Bar Ryder 6.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cheeper to Keeper 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gator Vindication 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Dreaming Diamonds 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 5 Laser Ladee 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Flatoutandfoxy 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Aloha Kai 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Easton Empress 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Take Aletter Maria 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Holy Patriot 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mucho Macho Bets 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tropicat 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Letthebigshot Roll 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Harv Won’t Tap 3.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Monster Bea 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Arch Cat 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 4 Noble Thought 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 2 Chicago Blues 6.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Little Tator Tot 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Frenzy 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Oma Lee 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Noralee 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Charlotte’s Wish 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Tencentmartinimary 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Daylight Deelite 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 L L L College Fund 4.50 3.4 7-1
10 9 Time Key 3.50 3.4 7-1
11 10 Weavemeawinr 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Little Miss Rebel 30.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Custom Made Ready 30.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Interslew 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Racy 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Miss Rippinlips 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Tiz Darby 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lil’ Sister Lou 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Marcia Rose 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Sarah Ann’s Pointe 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Catbalee 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Misty Ice 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Salt Life Angel 20.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Thinking of Her 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Keen Move 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Paleeze 10.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.6 3-1
1 1 Grand Argument 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Miss You Jo 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Seaside Sergeant 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Red Roux 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Liaison Halo 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Royal Rocket 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 I Don’t Fly Coach 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Binder 8.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Peace Treaty Pat 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kenai Beauty 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Strikingly Smart 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Navy Baby 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Proudmoney 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Dori’s Birdies 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 Scootin Bayou 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Keeping Time 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Adieu Mallory 12.00 3.4 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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