March 15, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Got the Gist | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highleelikelee | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Causin’ Trouble | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Be Regal | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Youth Gone Wild | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty Linz | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Blewitt | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Storm Prophet | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prompt | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crackspeed (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cause I’m Alex | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anne’s Song | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awillaway | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overtime Olivia | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Many Tales | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s My Catiecat | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bella | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finlee | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tales of Royalty | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Slippers | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Champayne | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Today Comes Once | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roziere | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Becca Takes Charge | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Alphadora | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Alvernia | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Keepmyeyeontheboys | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moscows Got Talent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Sunday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Forever Daisy | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emblazoner | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zecha | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsjustnotyourday | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offlee Irish | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Amanda Lane | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Millionaire Joe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lucid Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Tio Blas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Kumar | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Inclunation | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lone Pioneer | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Asher the Dasher | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mandatory Payout | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Wisecrack | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Brazen Prince | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 5 | Bridgetothefuture | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Threethehardway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clench | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loverboy Lou | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running Violence | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Breaker | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Prayer | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Czar | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Statesboro | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Local Counsel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vincento | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carthon | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Broadway Bay | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Sigh | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papa Shot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Playthatfunnymusic | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Old Upstart | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Outplay | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avast Matey | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Big Or Go Home | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly a Moon Shot | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regalian | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redyornothereicome | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancetrack | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Javelin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hamptons Holiday | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.