March 13, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Pants Jen | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Callmeonmycellfone | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Steal | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellas Run | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shezjuslikeannie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Brenda | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Z Pride | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vinyl | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shakes Creek | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Boundaries | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Mesa | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arch of Ages | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buddy Rocket | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jennovodka | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guitar King | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Captain Livi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spark Joy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Lydia | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Strong | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breezing Bye | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weightlessness | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temperance Road | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Song and a Kiss | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bernardian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Jackfruit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crossfire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 11 | Kaliningrad | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Destiny Awaits | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hero of the Hour | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Victory Lane | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Federal Dominance | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Postimpressionist | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sir Eske | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Super Silver | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Neon Gator | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | English Ransom | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Never Even Called | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blushing Dreamer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mizztic Tale | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Netela | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simba’s Pride | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbroken Song | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunrise Hawk | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Fast | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lascivious | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Opportunity Cost | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Broken Oath | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Morning Moon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Prado’s Encore | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Elle’s Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Blinkers | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yes It’s Ginger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chat Noir | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Appletini | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sail On | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Libby Knows | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Joy to the World | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Moneypenny | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Awesome One | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chikara | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Got Moves | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cafe Mischief | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Albany Fleet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jacobs Flyer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Felipe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Debdurite | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Divine Favor | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nobutzaboutit | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Raise Em Up | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bourbon Shotte | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Midnight Clear | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dictator | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tom Management | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Honey | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Limnery | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Launch | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Film | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ian Glass | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Last General | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War Treaty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Rebel Gentleman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gone Lucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | E Lee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Whoz Talkin Now | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | North Hullen | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sean | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | John’s Luck | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’m Formidable | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eights Wild | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Timeslikethese | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Q’ Mark | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Steppin’ Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister Frenchie | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.