March 10, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Delta Gamma | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Color Chart | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caralicious | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sterling Beauty | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Bella Chica | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stella B. | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Giant Ending | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet August Lady | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moment of Triumph | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Salty Smile | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mount Travers | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | American Mandate | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thousand Percent | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Direct Order | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strictly the Best | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Overnegotiate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 7 | 6 | Not About the Nail | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Driven by Speed | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Gobi | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devilish Romance | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Yourcreditisgood | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Nanny | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Slam Chowder | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Preziosa | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elizabeth Nicole | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Belle | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cool as You Like | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ribbonite | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Satin Sheets | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump for Joy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rucksack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Erlich | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orbed | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Morning | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vero Sun | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hizaam | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Litany | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Say | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mythajacul | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fuel the Bern | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Go Get the Munny | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nicodemus | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Have Another | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sam and Jax | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Power | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Caretaker | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream Friend | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Divine Miss Grey | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Road to Victory | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forever Liesl | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sara Street | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Disguise | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Split Time | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slot | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | There Goes Jose | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raging Fire | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Metaphorical | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call the Cat | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alrahaal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bigsouljoel | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Local Edition | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simma Cum Laude | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.