March 9, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Andthebandplayedon | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kehron’s Creed | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Fitzgerald | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Kylie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timeformetofly | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haleys Court | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emery’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Plans | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hideaway Hero | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get It to Geaux | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Moon | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monsieur Brown | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | From Now On | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My First Guitar | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Moti | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flatster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Temple | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarcillo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Sarcastic | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Please Sit Down | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betwithbothhands | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Temple City Star | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Par One | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Way too Wicked | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hardcore Folklore | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Diva | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blondie Lox Babe | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Joy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tears for Paula | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Brew | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Bobbie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song for Heddings | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drena’s Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Control Stake | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Latent Revenge | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Battle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Aura | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driven by History | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Perfect | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Handsome | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midwest Justice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D Two | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baja Viper | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moro Chief | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Cabo Headache | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Basecamp | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ipurrfurcandy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Wishin | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seek N Justice | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sertoman | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Drunken Fridays | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dreamzapper | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cape Rosso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Milk Chocolate | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaps | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Boat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im a Patriot | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King of Candy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alittlevodka | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reverend Aj | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Psychic Energy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnum Maduro | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Twist Off | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Baskin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Apollo’s Leap | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Piocho | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homefortheweekend | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten Street | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go for Moonshine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oro de Tejano | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’sonthewarpath | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Fortunate Girl | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mandy Blue | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bell’s the One | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amandrea | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Missmizz | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Ballad | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gamblin Train | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Release the Beast | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Born Again George | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oneholylion | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookingforroses | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Red Kid | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mediamaker | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lougarou | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Izzy B Winn | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.