March 8, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | My Pepper Ann | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lookout Mountain | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopette | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Cinnamon Diva | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tap City Baby | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memory Magic | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Aid Girl | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Family Ties | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Priority | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamite Daughters | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gavins Little Sis | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ticketformichelle | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cooler Schedule | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Justice | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 2 | Three Run Homer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tensas Talk | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lord Colliery | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mug Shot Man | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatdatpay Ray | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirtysix G’s | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tune My Guitar | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nate’s Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Real News | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jazz It Up | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Might | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vogt | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ace Destroyer | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mine Inspector | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Weneedtotalk | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Figure | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoptown Honey | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiduciary Values | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Bridge | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catkins | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Seeking Fast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Candy Carlos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strut the Ring | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cookies Are Good | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Brerry | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Real Glitter | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Irish Proud | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Potomac River | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Briar Jumper | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knights Nation | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Holiday | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zorzor | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cadet Captain | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Domikate | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cordero (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Secrets | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Applewood | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lemon Again | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strong Current | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mumford | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Note Worthy | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Mile Creek | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Happy Go Lucky | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Court’s Revenge | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Broome | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lounge Act | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holly Go Lightly | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Marge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Limari | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamondcoat | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rahway | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynabee | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Fun Again | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imindycatbirdseat | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wabash Cannonball | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruston Vow | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maddy’s Pro | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dutchman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crooked as Can Be | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Judge N Ruler | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.