March 8, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stole E | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skychief | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovejoy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incidentally | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Powerfully Built | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Frost | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Year’s Wish | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jump Ruler | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Playinwiththeboys | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Justinspeightofit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Power Boss | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Creative Style | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shanghai Check | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ticked All Daboxes | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fear No One | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Felt Better | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wisecrack | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major Flirt | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Fenomeno | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’smyluckyfellow | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pepper Lane | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shimmering Moon | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leah’s Dream | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vip Nation | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Crossing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moolah Schmoolah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Votre Coeur | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Overheated | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Claire’s Kitty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Unparalleled | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Sky | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Eight Minute Ellie | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cape Ann | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starlite Mission | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Girl Abby | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Graeme | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parlapiano | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malarkey | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nth Degree | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathy Naz | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Everything Pazible | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 5 | 5 | Iron Fork | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Shock Therapy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tazmonian Devil | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inflection | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icey Cash | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Amanjena | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dash for Dollars | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carfullofmoonshine | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.