March 5, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ruthless Child | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simple Pleasure | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waft | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Prize | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bing’s d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soco Unbridled | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaydees in Town | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singmebackhome | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Sis | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rule Taylor Rule | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Tell Stacy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Over Tipped | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Missing Piece | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Kisses | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millie Bee | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Code | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furiously Fast | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scatrattleandroll | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Planet | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goodprofit | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fugitive Lady | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vastjesus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bending Saint | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Wish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Bam Bam Bryan | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flashy Brew | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | B B Special | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Win Lion Win | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Manfred | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tenfold | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exclamation Point | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casses Story | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hawaakom | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zanesville | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Satellite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Botswana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Sailing Solo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Overnight Success | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Artie’s Rumor | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Take That for Data | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Midnight Tea Time | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jailhouse Kitten | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Compagno | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shared Value | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | High Mounte (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Broth | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapit Wicked | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Family Tree (GB) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mr Darcy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Aizhai | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honey Bunny | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Miss | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sultry | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salt Bae | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Queen | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On Probation | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thoughtless | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sanity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Orecchiette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oxford Comma | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Student Body | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contributing | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excessivespending | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Skeet | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Days | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Dame Blanche | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Southern Miss | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Powell | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatout Winner | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zapper Van Winkle | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Miner | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R One | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miltontown | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roll Call | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.