March 3, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bring the Dough | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fake Solution | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Post Close | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spire | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamin N Schemin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inked | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Paper Wazoo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moose Got Even | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jersey’s Heat | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totality | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flight Risk | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamer’s Point | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dedicated | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dahik | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macha’s Reward | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Britches | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Praetorian | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Scat Big Dad | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 6 | 5 | Home It Tiz | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Edition | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Prez | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Like Richie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Year’s Luck | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auctioneer | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Invasor Gold | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keesawah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Smart Spree | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nuclear Option | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Red Dude | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Knights Key | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cummings | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shannon C | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desert Thief | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Place the Blame | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Shack | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Council Rules | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawnmino | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Touch Me | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serious I Candy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ceremony | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Almafuerte | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mia Mischief | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Nation | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kirby’s Penny | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Distance | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Greeley | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silken Goods | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Cipherin’ Sue | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Hawt Mess | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dusty Miller | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Gold Zephyr | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baudette | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alena Marie | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Say Mo | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heffington | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mytoccetivesisters | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shotgun Kowboy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Club | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Liner | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Spirit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cake Pop | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Operation Stevie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Camalus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Kahramani | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candyrock | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bahnke | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dapper Jack | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boxer Boy | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kela Brew | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bigshot Lacewell | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Pair | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.