March 3, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Count That | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karslyn | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Pants Jen | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paper Doll | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fine N On Time | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Prospect | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Banana | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Dame | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elizabeth’s Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Music | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deal Fever | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Deelite | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kick N Kiss | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock the Jukebox | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holdonaminit | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Citali | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Flat Out Fast | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silis | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lodi Street | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chase the Bling | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slideruler | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Sarge N Charge | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Heir to Dream | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dance Caller | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Chaos | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malasong | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint William | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fats | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Richie Gary | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr True | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quisty Boy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inspector Eddie | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farewell Time | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Ways | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aw Shucks | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fat Clemenza | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ Truth | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Change of Control | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Coexistence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Halfway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady’s Tribute | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Badgeri Candy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Daaherachel | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Lady of Luxury | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sparkling Champagn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Ninja Booboo | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boyfriend Material | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Hunker Down | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Private Eye | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twin Farms | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mine My Time | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ukuru | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimmy Joe | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Fu | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Firewater Jake | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Slippy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Attorney Tim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cowboys Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oxburger | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lookin High | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Another Mystery | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Grove Daddy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Patrol | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Trivista | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cornstarch | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Irish Hokie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Candizar | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stage Ready | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Silent Force | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Half | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | McIlhenny | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Weavemeawinr | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flying Rosie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Tap Dances | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honest Bandit | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Deez Jitterbug | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.