March 3, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fire Eagle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sanaable | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gracetown | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G. T. Sonia | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Theresa’s Boy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Ridolfo | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Behavior | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Well in Tune | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Skies Forever | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soup Baby | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Action | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Aristocratic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Farm | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forge | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adulation | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mounted Cop | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bank Gala | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disciplanarian | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ravenbro | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Falsifier | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dublinornothin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | First Forever | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tzipi | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Banker | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Freud’s Secret | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookbothways | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Queendom | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sarahrini | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Belle | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Enuff | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archumybaby | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sing for Beauty | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Emily’s Smile | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Me Roses | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Dawn | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Win With Pride | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reed Kan | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tribecca | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Distortion | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Promises | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deep Sea | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Science Fiction | 2.50 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Deal | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norma’s Charm | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Punch | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Janie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Babe | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Obsolete | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingdom’s Queen | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That’s Speightful | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.