March 2, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
3A |
3 |
Lively Spell |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arkansas Alley |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boss Lady Melissa |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Her Kinda Candy |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9A |
9 |
Sing a Song Too |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Easy Goin’ Girl |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jim’s Angel |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daddy’s Angel |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scarlett J |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Captain Von Trapp |
1.40 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Troy Ounce |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hidden Ruler |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Gem |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Off Sixes |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Town Drunk |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bear Trappe |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Again Alex |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Moon Unit |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
My Macho Mon |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Assay |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Everado |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Anvil Rock |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Concrete Finisher |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Can’t Wait No Mo |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soul Wind |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starlin |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Adulator |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8A |
7 |
Shut the Box |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
|
|
|
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Summer Revolution |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Futile |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Exemplar |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hollywood Critic |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
D’ Rapper |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Picknngrinn |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Discreetness |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Gladtobehere |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Acorn Street |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loran Holiday (ARG) |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Murika |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bella Moon |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Northern Fern |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fringe |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowgirl Callie |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Little Miss Amy |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brown Eyed Blues |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maria Rose |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Uno Sueno |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ransomed |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Highland Lass |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
World Riot |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miz K |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Girl Factor |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Can’ttouchmenow |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’mthebossrightnow |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Claire’s Music |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pentimento |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Mitole |
1.40 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Majestic Affair |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gordy Florida |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wilbo |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bourbon Cowboy |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fort Fortitude |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sightforsoreeyes |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sister Nation |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Amy’s Challenge |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Vertical Oak |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shanghai Tariff |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Treble |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Proper Discretion |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Alex’s Bourbon |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Swing and Sway |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mojovation |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cosmic Hallelujah |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
New Dancer |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Friends |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Attain Success |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Harlanday |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nomo Ron |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant Pulpit |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Take Charge Now |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bebop Shoes |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Young Bull |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Destinedtobeastar |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drexel |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Leo Del Reo |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heisfancy |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fire To |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
It’s Bellamy Time |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ray’s Big Boy |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.