March 2, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheltowee’s Loca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Galilea | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonlighting Majic | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth as Bourbon | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goddess of Kip | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Band | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upper Cretaceous | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salute My Lady | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cape Rosso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kid Creole | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | State Treasurer | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Treys Midnite Moon | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sea Vow | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rock N Sake | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Snipe’s | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | T’ Cadeau | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Snapper Bite | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’wildcat Indian | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Say Yes Again | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bitters | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raising the Ante | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alittlebitextra | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jus Socks | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Michelle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ian Glass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Parkway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Marquee Prince | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vivid Verse | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncapped | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Logical Myth | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spectacular Gem | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tobacco Road | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aquadini | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Americandy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courtyard | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conative | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carte Blanche | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Amandrea | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Desert Rendezvous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Change of Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Promised Fame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Finest Jewel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scilly Isles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Passport Required | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | In Charge Annie | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Close to Me | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Upgrade Me | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Noble Fever | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Grandezza | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cirrusly | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Quiet Pirate | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Whats Yur Story | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scalper | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chess Chief | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bandit Swanson | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hip Hip Jorge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rubin Hurricane | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dixie Poker Ace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ninety One Assault | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | In the Navy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Pilot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Afleet Ascent | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Luwegee | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Extra Credit | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gladyousawme | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Underpressure | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Grande Basin | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Theoryintopractice | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mageez | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Magic Vow | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Nasty Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freakonthelead | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Delaware Basin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Whoajoey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Well’s Gold | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Finishlikeapro | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Am Ready Again | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Gig | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Youve Got a Friend | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Twice | 50.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ide B a Classic | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tin Roof Rusted | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.