March 2, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flat Rate | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Pioneer | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Burt | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gallant Bid | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Lucky | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deputy Zapper | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amistad | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Volodina | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hexameter | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Questeq | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Flash | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puparee | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lightnin Strike | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dirtyfoot | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sharpe and Ready | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thunder’s Honor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Fox Red | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1.7 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 1 | Seethisquick | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Surface Strike | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bid On Sassy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bel Cuore | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vinda Machine | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pennys From Heaven | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weekend Forecast | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | T J’s Rose Ella | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Funky | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemini Witch | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aly’s Courage | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Promise Me Roses | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Courageous Queen | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Salty Smile | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jump for Joy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moment of Triumph | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speed Khaleesi | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Mission | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Hot Betty | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bull Feathers | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rose of Dublin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ladyberg | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Street Chamber | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Margie Cat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mats Checkride | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charming Cara | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thinkingofglenn | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mama’s Funky Baby | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cryinthemoonlight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Spring Drama | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pinchbeck | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Hot Stones | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orchid Party | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pas de Deuce | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Annie | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bernardini S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit It Once More | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weather Wiz | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leitone (CHI) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Bonus | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shalako | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Outplay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Borsa Vento | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Its All Relevant | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peter’s Project | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zap Zap Zap | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maimo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kenyan | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drummer Don | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.