February 28, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Paddys Class |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trini Pleasure |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unrivaled Soul |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Casual Caro |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s No Joke |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Momma Tries |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lu Lu Belle |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Much About It |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Paradise |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bless the Rains |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yes Its Factual |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blues Songs |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Its About Me |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rate of Return |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smirkotch |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Better Vibes |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
G Q Coverup |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Scotuscare |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Gran Malbec |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Be So Salty |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Bushrod |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Morning Buzz |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Captain Gaughen |
1.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Ransom |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Moonwalker |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Day by Day |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Fallen Leaf |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cordele |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Storm Temple Pilot |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Town Kat |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesomendensome |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awsum Roar |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Answer My Call |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Delicious Pursuit |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sammie Sunshine |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Saracosa |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nautia |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Denver |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drop Dead Red |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Barrier Island |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paulette |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Grenadier |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Grit and Glory |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
My Whippersnapper |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Heated Element |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Not Now Rand |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sea Shark |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Mr. Edgar |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unyielding |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
4 |
Decider |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Clamor |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Steadily |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Luv This Lifestyle |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Nilestar |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Abyssinian |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Devious Charm |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charmaine’s Mia |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caspian Jewel |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Katieleigh |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Creedibility |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mr Chaplin |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beneficiary |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Storming My Way |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eclipsed Moon |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sanfilipo |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
King Wildcat |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Fine Ride |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Queen Nekia |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Reagan’s Odyssey |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dynatown |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Una Luna |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luz Estrella |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hera |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bienville Street |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trilby |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pop’s Irish Rose |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quick Quick Quick |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Mass |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coach Rocks |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Posse Needed |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Razorback Lady |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pierette |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Jamming Eddy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Adios Judith |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Followhisfootsteps |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lawyer Drill |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Warrior Spirit |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Big Alex |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Molokai Night |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fort Revere |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Bank Note |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.