February 24, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gongheifatchoy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lonhtwist | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iona Mobe | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Distiller | 0.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camouflaged Kisser | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thank You So Much | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | One River Place | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tale of Mist | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take It to Scale | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Call Me | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Lane | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thunder’s Honor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Curlin Creek | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Party On Prospect | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Equal the Score | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Knight | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incubator | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devine Dental | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poshsky | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lazarus Project | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In a Fog | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adirondack Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Kid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Heavy Meddle | 1.60 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Swiping Dan | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimateenticement | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Celesse | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | D J’s Favorite | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Birthday | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hailey’s Flip | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Kakes | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Picture Day | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Tommy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Calculated Risker | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fleet Irish | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Broadway Bay | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Battle of Saratoga | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zabaione | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holy Week | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 1.40 | 0.9 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My First Gal | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highleelikelee | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Helen | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.