February 22, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two Mile Creek | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Bernardian | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tashkent | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Court’s Revenge | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mogowan | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mumford | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cratus | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Carson Kan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Turner Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Taste for Talent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | M C Squared | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Showcase Mall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mini Chunk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roger Brown | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | El Jake O | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Lewys Vaporizer | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bar Ryder | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Khaleesi’s Gift | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mariposa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Compromising | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Star Performer | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backstage Star | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majino | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Casual Cool | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Banana | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | Elizabeth’s Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Run By | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Kaydees in Town | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | She’s Our Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Holy Smoke Mama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Emily Jo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Hustle | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bellamy Cay | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baby Sugar | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Peace Treaty Pat | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Temple of Roses | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starlet Scarlett | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hawn | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of La Comete | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Orbit | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stargirl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trust in Love | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Genie’s Glory | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J D’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Gray | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sonoma Crush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alpha and Omega | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Richie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Garrison K | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Anytime Anyplace | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Buggy Brown | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Riv | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What a Image | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Warrior’s Kid | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carolyn’s Cactus | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Wildcat Saint | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Blue Wings | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Afleet | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monte Man | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Bean | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Friend Flavin | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queeten | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pound for Pound | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harv Won’t Tap | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dontblamerocket | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mono | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mobridge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Italian Charm | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Noble Thought | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Zinger | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bemma’s Boy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Killeen | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Letithappenquick | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronda’s Custom | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Rayster | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last of the Luck | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Omega | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Man Camp | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Priority | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambassador House | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Cry | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.