February 21, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sabrena’s Bling |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hello Holiday |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Untraceable |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Determinant |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yankton |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run Tappy |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Commandeering |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Call West |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Got Mojo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Burtnjoe |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Detroit Cowboy |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joan’s Delight |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haus |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shoe Money |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Daddy’s Gone |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Celta Vigo |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cowboy Cactus Jack |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Picking Roses |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
American Glory |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Five Star Factor |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Desha |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unprovoked |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Day |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Backseat Promises |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Linda Listen |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Juliet’s Music |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Arkansas Red |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gone Dancing |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Babadoook |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Call Me Derby |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ri Ri French Fry |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spot Me |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
On Radar |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
All for Truth |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Cougar |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scoot Dude |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blanco Bronco |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Redeal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Babaknowsevrything |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Lady Cleopatra |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sure Thing Sheila |
1.40 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Color Me Pretty |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Racey Reecey |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Loran Holiday (ARG) |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
6 |
Axial Load |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Boathouse View |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Grandgran |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
12 |
Everado |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Lifesbeengoodsofar |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
6 |
Bet It All to Win |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Rickhouse |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Wicked Gem |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Assay |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Macho Mon |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Reverend Don |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Golden Challenge |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dawson’s Pride |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Naprome |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Mrs Howell |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Point Streak |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pleasure and Glory |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saucy At Midnight |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Molly’s Game |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
13 |
12 |
Sunset Cruise |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Keene’s Desire |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
C C’s Baby Girl |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Kitty Kitty |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Peachy |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Key Red |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Soaring Lil Sass |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bellwood Forever |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sheza Handfull |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mucha Mezquina |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Peruvian Appeal |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Agi’s Cait |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lunar Orbit |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carrizo |
1.20 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Midnight Karma |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Perfecta |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Istan Council |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dry Levee |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Shining Knight |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Single Gem |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
New Colossus |
1.40 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gray Sky |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
2 |
Coach Adams |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
5 |
Mo’s Mojo |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Golden Bullet |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
I’ve Got Heart |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
7 |
Coleman Rocky |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.