Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 21, 2019

February 21, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Theregoesjojo 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mon Chevalier 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Love Sick Kitten 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Silver Shield 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Divide 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Rumson Rally 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 King Orb 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Abe Froman 20.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Crime Lab 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Promontory 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valerie First 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Paso a La Reina 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Gran Bonita Chica 0.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Aqua Gem 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lady Kim 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Country Girl Shirl 20.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Glotonasa 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kaylie’s Girl 0.60 1.4 3-1
4 4 Fontanazza 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Tiebaj 30.00 2 4-1
3 3 Just a Coyote 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Trini Pleasure 30.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Paulo’s Delight 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Little Neck 30.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Encinitas 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sandville 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Tapability 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Leinster 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Fast Talking 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Somethinstappin 30.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Kidding 3.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Transistor 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Dubull 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Tell Me a Story 10.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Charlie the Greek 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Chiseled 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Bostaleto 8.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roddick 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Blacktop Legend 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Empty Sky 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bluesky Kitten 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Biz Notes 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tiz Luna 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Cool Hand Coop 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Starship Aramis 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Chandler’s Drama 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 7 Sharetheblame 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Motown Man 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mr Chaplin 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dizzy Gillespie 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Somedreamscometrue 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Franklin Towers 2.50 0.9 2-1
3 3 Enough Is Enough 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Good and Proper 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Dave Hoeght 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Il Faraone 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Brandt 30.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Love Tree 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Immunity 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Summer Spice 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Remember the Maine 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hierro Colado (VEN) 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Modern Tale 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Love Conquers 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Versed 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Diamond Majesty 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Black Jet 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Hardened 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Sleeping Giant 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Little Baltar 12.00 3.2 6-1
11 10 Architectural 20.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 City Roc 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Prime Issue 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Big Boy Bruno 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Escondera 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Be a Hero 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 He’s Got Talent 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 No Dinero 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Go Gone Gone 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Nominal Dollars 3.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Knarsdale 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Little Dipper 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Conquest Tizfire 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Swayed 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Crazy for Sofia 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Yes Factor 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Jimi Bags 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 My Masterpiece 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 A Great Time 15.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Vigilante Justice 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Muskoka Suzie 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Off to Broadway 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Princesa Crystal (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Glory Roll 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Gran Diamond 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Anjali 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lady of Quality 30.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 R Caribbean Queen 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 For Reef’s Sake 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Judith Can 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Enduros Tigress 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Gio’s Cookie Star 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Meyer Crown 30.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Freight Train Lane 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Roses for Martina 20.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.