February 20, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Miss Katniss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Avery Lynn | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Favorite Promise | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shea’s Lil Shug | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seveneightnine | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Zip | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Doll | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crickadee | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildnd’moonlight | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Wise Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Future Ruler | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | D’money Honey | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | A Flash of Copper | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dewey’s Bull | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Song N a Cat | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alex’s Turn | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Personal Double | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Big Em C | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lakendereya | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ticketformichelle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dark Spirit | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scootin Bayou | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Island Blue | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overly Sweet | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love Davos | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | All in Bronson | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Beat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Posse Dreamin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Toss the Tub | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darylslittleengine | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witch Hunt | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Wild Dancer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparky Sparkles | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Gentleman | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heartland Hit | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stage Show | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cale’s Gold | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | It’s All Up to You | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Amavi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Our Bermuda | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Thirtysix G’s | 1.80 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spring Rodeo | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kowboy’s Bobo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solid Red | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Private Reality | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secure Interest | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Puddin’s the Man | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hand Me the Cash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Much to Do | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | A Pretty Face | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Space Cowgirl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rossmoor Way | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Belacqua | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | A Toast to Gertie | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Oleta Inez | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Pal Em | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I Call | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Coast | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Blessing | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aaron’s Bluff | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Bayou Bird | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellarmine | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invasors Wind | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hook | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Agent McGee | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Forecast | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who Datawaki | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Production | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Prospector | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rickshaw Express | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutus Hughes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kelcorcee | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz America | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Red Cat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Intimidator | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jade Star | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flying South | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monsieur Brown | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Brownies | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Dad Louie | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Image | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Easy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Doeny Sparks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | High Hopes Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Giant Collin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sky Low | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thisaintnoalleycat | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Rippinlips | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Could Be Mine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Life Angel | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Misty Ice | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | We Can Dream | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Now Berry | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.