February 18, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Snapper Bite | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Myblendofwhisky | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whoz Talkin Now | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | North Hullen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Eights Wild | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vapor Viper | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Do Guess Again | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tin Roof Rusted | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Temple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Destiny Awaits | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Carbonated | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kaliningrad | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Two Mile Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | English Ransom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mumford | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crossfire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Piocho | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Hero of the Hour | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Postimpressionist | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Applewood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Never Even Called | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Release the Beast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | General Tone | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born Again George | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mardi Gras Mask | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pierpont | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exchange Gold | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oneholylion | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Change of Control | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Lady of Luxury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mary Celeste | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | She’s Divine | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Million Tales | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elle’s Town | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Awesome One | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Morissette | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cafe Mischief | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Becky’s Bluegrass | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Matt’s Honey | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Promised Fame | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nuggetsofknowledge | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonights Star | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a Bite | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halostar | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rivers Rising | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Pinata | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chambliss | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alltheway to Cairo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Steeles Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Decision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Believeinholidays | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Wild River | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Victory Lane | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Uncle Artie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Don Curlione | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goddess of Kip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Soaring Now | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hopette | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trust in Diane | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I. Damiana | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ellie Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry N Bo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Too | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanish Arch | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bing | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Riverside Walk (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Truth Goddess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dream Passage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hoptown Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blingin’ Rose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | War Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Orb | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ready for War | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Bella Belle | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Altered Dream | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jacobs Flyer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Holy Sunrise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Priority | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Disapproval | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point the Way | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Phat and Fast | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ricky Dale | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Larry Dale | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juneberris Sound | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Carlos | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No More for U | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.