Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 17, 2019

February 17, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vander Kelen 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blitzkrieg 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jimmy Chila 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Cats Blame 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Chill 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 More Honor 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Swiss Minister 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Chosen Vessel 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Falcone 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Princess Kendra 1.80 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sturdy One 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Conquest Flatterme 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lady Krishna 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Cinnamon Twist 4.50 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shut It Up 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Angel Alessandra 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Devils Dance 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Gallovie (GB) 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lady Lucy 5.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nice Work 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Owning 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Oracle of Omaha 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 I Belong to Becky 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Its Five Somewhere 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Handsome John 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Silver Summer 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quad 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Anatolian Heat 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Incensed 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 New Karma 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Executive Cat 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Rule He Will 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 St. Reno 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Isee It in Hiseyes 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Billy the Hott 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Rocky Rogue 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Bean 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 He Be Mojo Risin 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 John’s Intuition 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fair Challenge 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Bob’s Sniper 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Translucent 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 King Parker 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Count Alexander 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Souter (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Move Over (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Keep Quiet (FR) 4.50 3.7 7-1
11 11 Maestro Dearte 3.50 4.7 9-1
9 9 Kazan (IRE) 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Pincheck (IRE) 5.00 5 10-1
8 8 Morse Code 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Risky Proposition 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Accountability 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Fight On 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lazzam (GB) 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dreams of Valor 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Artie B Good 15.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Defense Minister 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bartlett Hall 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bitter Ring Home 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Normandy Beach 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Causeididitmyway 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Malibu Magic 12.00 5 10-1
10 10 Paul’s Diva 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Pastorelli 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Skagit River 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Santa Fe Blaze 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Casual Reply 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rinse and Repeat 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Kris’ Wild Kat 1.80 3 6-1
8 8 Foray 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Fortune of War (GB) 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Union Rebel 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Vintage Hollywood 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gray Admiral 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 According to Buddy 15.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.