February 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fostering Harmony | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Shot to Win | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Boots | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Spiced Up | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Storm | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Lookout Mountain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Hopette | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Lurey An | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Forgotten | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Smiley Briley | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Wanna Snuggle | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sabe Marcelete | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Kraft’s Rate | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toodaloo to You | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nana’s Joy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Spartanburg | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | White Oak Swamp | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pam’s Meadow | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Twist | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diva’s Ransom | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half a Sugar | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Cruising | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salute My Lady | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bizzarrini | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Last Zip | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One for Richie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Might | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thenextbestthing | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | View Magic | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loveatturkeyclub | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Hurricane Jake | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cohete Rojo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | On the Muscle | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Simple Pleasure | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Stride | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breezing Bye | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenai Cool | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laser Ladee | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Justice | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Tapit | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Her Name Is Um | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhoda’s Jewell | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Satellite | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Mountain | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roar of the Lion | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celerity | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fascilitator | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildscore | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Murry Spur | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barraaq (GB) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Opportunity Cost | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pops Legacy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foldover | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indium | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charge the Line | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Brew | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O’L Red | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | State Treasurer | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outofthisgalaxy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlettsblackjack | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Charlie’sarchangel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tapit City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Arch of Ages | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Antarctic | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go for Moonshine | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Boundaries | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten Street | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yourdecisionotmine | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Baskin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Move | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nobutzaboutit | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Guitar King | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Midnight Clear | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Harkins Hall | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dr. Zipcity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Finishlikeapro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Morning Mischief | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | K One Kobra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | I Am Ready Again | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cameron Rules | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shaniko’s Secret | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Bob | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinch Assault | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whoajoey | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weidenbachers Gent | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sean | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cash First | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Twice | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Frenchie | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sandana Heat | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.