February 16, 2019 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tonedaddy | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Again | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esposito | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jubal | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gibsons Tricky Boy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Highway | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bango Box | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | King of the Court | 1.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jimbo’s Biz | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reversaloffortune | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Sandplum County | 1.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daring Ego | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlin | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inked | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbon Cane | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Dirt Road | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seabeescando | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willyoustandforme | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lookie Loo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Giant Influence | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Bacoli | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Stormy Pacific | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bode’s Maker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Springtime Mojo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King’s Reckoning | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iza Innocent | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Johnnie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Shell Locket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Torri’s On My Mind | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Skip’s Song | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Van Berg | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mia Promessa | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortressa | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Between the Arches | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Prissy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lost | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nicoles Classygirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Eurodevilwoman | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Paradise | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Council Rules | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Northern Connect | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alittlecomplicated | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drip Brew | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Abby in Pink | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anita Marie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Perfect Plus | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Schuyler Warrior | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunshine Cake | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Canela Caliente | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Honor With Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Three Chords | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Enuff | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ascot Day | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Special Relativity | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Game Time Decision | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Night Time Lady | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Believe | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Create a Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Karma Delight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Candyrock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Gentrified | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Street Trust | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 14A | 12 | Top of the Page | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doctor Lee | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jerrid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ceeky | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mineyerownmalone | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dapper Jack | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tres Equis | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Turbo S | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boxer Boy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady T N T | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unholy Alliance | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adventurous Lady | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Q Go Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spice It Up | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raintree Starlet | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Cat | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Penalty Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Loopallu | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kansas City Zip | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Ruler | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ludington | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Dustman | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swither’s Shortcut | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxxon | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Sheriff | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grassetto | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.